Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 11.734195 13.479271 15.345823 17.485265 19.863909 22.421527 25.373638
2025-10-05 9.484107 11.868082 14.593629 17.918534 21.842046 26.300998 31.726749
2025-10-12 8.065282 10.777829 14.039324 18.205512 23.337791 29.403243 37.058863
2025-10-19 6.962882 9.851547 13.478542 18.295058 24.443641 31.945678 41.696929
2025-10-26 5.888412 8.795817 12.598012 17.831693 24.732941 33.397791 44.957750
2025-11-02 5.069790 7.966890 11.901012 17.496259 25.092235 34.874525 48.227001
2025-11-09 4.384363 7.234619 11.246698 17.130949 25.338062 36.156453 51.233068
2025-11-16 3.823546 6.613619 10.678166 16.814664 25.591743 37.412504 54.201568
2025-11-23 3.293504 5.975253 10.018915 16.301611 25.511880 38.176774 56.495704
2025-11-30 2.988968 5.654981 9.797340 16.394244 26.270002 40.090347 60.387953
2025-12-07 2.713569 5.350032 9.568074 16.447313 26.953955 41.903535 64.177126
2025-12-14 2.497195 5.119829 9.432850 16.624617 27.813321 43.977467 68.377368
2025-12-21 2.260365 4.831648 9.185132 16.614687 28.396864 45.687133 72.138225
2025-12-28 2.126035 4.713839 9.207700 17.031567 29.643728 48.399561 77.418133
2026-01-04 1.980332 4.557780 9.149963 17.306856 30.671749 50.809932 82.314953
2026-01-11 1.818856 4.352424 8.987926 17.392755 31.393983 52.773213 86.595266
2026-01-18 1.596934 3.999487 8.532736 16.948294 31.234159 53.377990 88.851879
2026-01-25 1.416743 3.709300 8.165546 16.626598 31.248313 54.234879 91.493206
2026-02-01 1.252867 3.432347 7.798113 16.276303 31.189310 54.962113 93.940256
2026-02-08 1.112262 3.187874 7.470775 15.973063 31.186957 55.765909 96.511380
2026-02-15 0.967359 2.912636 7.057388 15.481262 30.831152 55.981464 98.157061
2026-02-22 0.893986 2.798369 6.958892 15.570049 31.481436 57.833220 102.411659
2026-03-01 0.823568 2.681822 6.845379 15.620917 32.061948 59.581203 106.536654